Odds of Dying

Your odds of dying from an accidental opioid overdose continue to be greater than dying in a

motor-vehicle crash

Fear is natural and healthy. It can help us respond to danger more quickly or avoid a dangerous situation altogether. It can also cause us to worry about the wrong things, especially when it comes to estimating our level of risk.

If we overestimate our risk in one area, it can lead to anxiety and interfere with carrying out our normal daily routine. Ironically, it also leads us to underestimate real risks that can injure or kill us.

It can be difficult to accurately assess the biggest risks we face. Plane crashes, being struck by lightning, or being attacked by a dog are common fears, but what about falls, the danger inside a bottle of pills, or your drive to work?

Knowing the odds is the first step in beating them. The infographic compares some of the latest odds of dying estimates. A summary table of some of the top causes of death is also provided. Please use the data details tab to explore all the odds of dying estimates.

Lifetime odds of death for selected causes, United States, 2023
Cause of Death Odds of Dying
Heart disease 1 in 6
Cancer 1 in 7
All preventable causes of death 1 in 19
Stroke 1 in 26
Opioid overdose (accidental) 1 in 57
Suicide 1 in 87
Guns (all intents) 1 in 91
        Suicide with gun 1 in 156
        Gun assault 1 in 238
        Accidental gun discharge 1 in 9,227
Fall 1 in 91
Motor-vehicle crash 1 in 95
Pedestrian incident 1 in 471
Motorcyclist 1 in 706
Drowning 1 in 1,073
Fire or smoke 1 in 1,266
Choking on food 1 in 2,461
Bicyclist 1 in 3,102
Sunstroke 1 in 4,484
Electrocution, radiation, extreme temperatures, and pressure 1 in 14,383
Sharp objects 1 in 22,723
Cataclysmic storm 1 in 39,192
Hornet, wasp, and bee stings 1 in 41,076
Dog attack 1 in 44,499
Hot surfaces and substances 1 in 65,721
Lightning Too few deaths in 2023 to calculate odds
Railway passenger Too few deaths in 2023 to calculate odds
Passenger on an airplane Too few deaths in 2023 to calculate odds

Source: National Safety Council estimates based on data from National Center for Health Statistics—Mortality Data for 2023, as compiled from data provided by the 57 vital statistics jurisdictions through the Vital Statistics Cooperative Program.  Population and life expectancy data are from the U.S. Census Bureau. Deaths are classified on the basis of the World Health Organization’s 10th Revision of the The International Classification of Diseases (ICD-10). Numbers following titles refer to External Cause of Morbidity and Mortality classifications in ICD-10.

See data details