Preliminary Estimates

The first NSC estimate of total motor vehicle deaths in 2018 was 40,000, down 1% from the final 2017 total of 40,231. In the first six months of 2019 the decrease accelerated, with motor vehicle deaths decreasing 3% from 2018 estimates.

Motor vehicle deaths for January through June 2019 totaled 18,580. This figure is down 3% from revised estimates from the corresponding period in 2018. The January through June figure for 2019 was also down 3% from the final 2017 estimate. The estimated annual population death rate is 11.8 deaths per 100,000 population, down 3% from the preliminary 2018 rate. The estimated annual mileage death rate is 1.2 deaths per 100 million vehicle miles traveled, stable from the revised 2018 rate.

A medically consulted injury is an injury serious enough that a medical professional was consulted. Based on the current medically consulted injury-to-death ratio of 114:1, and rounded to the nearest thousand, the estimated number of nonfatal medically consulted injuries resulting from crashes during the first half of this year was 2,118,000. This represents a 1% decrease from 2018.

The estimated cost of motor vehicle deaths, injuries and property damage through June was $191.7 billion, a 1% decrease from 2018.

The National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS) reports the official mortality estimates for the United States and is used as a comparison to judge the accuracy of NSC preliminary estimates. The publication of NCHS final mortality estimates generally lags about one year. All of NSC preliminary estimates are updated a few months following the end of each year. For this comparison, both NSC first and revised estimates are displayed in the chart. For example, the first estimate displayed on the chart for 2018 of 18,720 was revised on February 13, 2019 to 19,060.

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  • Data Table
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