Preliminary Semiannual Estimates

The National Safety Council (NSC) estimate of total motor-vehicle deaths in the first six months of 2020 is 18,300, up 1% from the preliminary 2019 estimate of 18,200. The figure for 2020 was down 2% from the final 2018 total of 18,695. The estimated annual population death rate is 11.8 deaths per 100,000 population, steady from 2019. The estimated mileage death rate for the first six months is 1.37 deaths per 100 million vehicle miles traveled, up 20% from the revised 2019 rate of 1.14. Estimated vehicle miles traveled for the first six months of 2020 indicate nearly a 17% decrease compared to last year from 1,595 billion to 1,331 billion.

medically consulted injury is an injury serious enough that a medical professional was consulted. Based on the current medically consulted injury-to-death ratio of 114:1, and rounded to the nearest thousand, the estimated number of nonfatal medically consulted injuries resulting from crashes during first six months of 2020 was 2,086,000.

The estimated cost of motor-vehicle deaths, injuries, and property damage in the first six month of 2020 was $206.4 billion.

The National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS) reports the official mortality estimates for the United States and is used as a comparison to judge the accuracy of NSC preliminary estimates. The publication of NCHS final mortality estimates generally lags about one year. The most recent NCHS official estimate shows 18,695 deaths occurring in the first six months of 2018. This compares to the NSC estimate of 18,720 or a difference of 25 deaths.

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